Investment Thesis Writer
Write detailed bullish or bearish investment theses with valuation, catalysts, risks, and price targets.
This is an AI tool. The text you enter is sent to our AI service to generate your result. Our own server doesn't store it or use it for training; if it's down, a backup AI provider may handle it. How we handle your input
How to Use Investment Thesis Writer
- 1Paste your research notes and data for the company.
- 2Add the ticker, pick a horizon — 3 months, 12 months, 3 years or 5 years+ — and a bias: Bullish (Buy) or Bearish (Short / Avoid).
- 3Click 'Write Investment Thesis'.
- 4You get thesis pillars, growth drivers or headwinds, management quality or competitive threats, valuation, price targets, upcoming catalysts, and thesis invalidation conditions.
- 5Write the invalidation conditions carefully — they are the part that protects you.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are thesis invalidation conditions?
The specific, observable things that would mean you were wrong — a margin falling below a level, a competitor shipping, a contract not renewed. Defining them in advance is what allows you to exit on evidence rather than on pain, and it is the single most useful field in the document.
Are the price targets meaningful?
No. The tool has no market data and cannot value a security. Any price target it produces is a number-shaped string, not a valuation. Supply your own from your own model.
Does choosing a bias make the thesis biased?
Deliberately, yes — you are asking it to articulate one side. That is a reason to run it both ways. Generating the bearish thesis for a stock you are bullish on is the most useful thing you can do with this tool.
Why does the horizon matter?
Because the argument changes entirely. A three-month thesis rests on catalysts and positioning; a five-year thesis rests on competitive advantage and end-market growth. A short-horizon case dressed up as a long-term one is how people end up holding something for years that they bought for a quarter.
Is this investment advice?
No. It is a writing tool for research you have done. Nothing it produces is a recommendation, nothing is personalised, and you should consider advice from a regulated professional before investing.
About Investment Thesis Writer
The Investment Thesis Writer structures research into a written thesis for a chosen horizon and direction: the pillars of the argument, drivers or headwinds, valuation, catalysts, and the conditions that would invalidate it.
The invalidation conditions are the reason to write a thesis down at all. Without them, exiting a position becomes a question of how much pain you can tolerate; with them, it becomes a question of whether a specific thing you named in advance has happened. That is the difference between a process and a hope.
Running it against your own position is the best use of the bias setting. If you are long and the bearish thesis reads as weak, that is informative; if it reads as uncomfortably strong, that is more informative still. Generating only the side you already hold is confirmation with extra steps.
It has no market data and cannot value anything — price targets it produces are decorative, so use your own. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation, and none of it is personalised to your circumstances. Investments can fall as well as rise; consider advice from a regulated professional. Your input goes to our own AI server over HTTPS, is used once, and is never stored or used for training. If our server is down, a backup AI provider may handle the request under its own data policy.